I think what’s happening in Ukraine is more urgent than domestic politic at the moment, though I think the poverty problems in this country are looking very bleak with future fuel costs come October looking, too. I don’t, however, think that our aid and support of Ukraine rests on Johnson at all. Though he’ll hold a lot of weight in the final decisions, arriving at those decisions is mostly in the power of the advisors, and those structures will be in place for the next leader, and that next leader would surely keep one of the only semi positive points of Johnson’s tenure going. Backing out of the UK’s commitments would make no sense at all.
I don’t know how I feel about last night. On the one hand I absolutely want Johnson out a soon as is possible, but in the other I want the Tories out even more, and I think the best chance we have of getting them out is by Johnson staying in, because he is too much of a narcissist to believe how much he is dragging that party down, or so much of a narcissist that he would gamble seeing his party go down in order to hold onto his own political ambition that whine longer.
Whilst I want him to go, Tory voters have short memories, and replacing him now would mean that come the next election they’d have their shiny new figurehead and would vote as if it was tabular rasa.
I think Johnson is pushing the limits of even the loyal Tory voters. Though most propensity might see such high no confidence numbers and realise their position was very weak and step down, like May did, I think Johnson will see this as confirmation of his standing and the party’s willingness to lead, not because he’s stupid, but because he’s arrogant.