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| General Election 2015 https://www.beexcellenttoeachother.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=10141 |
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| Author: | MaliA [ Thu May 07, 2015 23:55 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
ApplePieOfDestiny wrote: Gallocunt out! Pouring gin now. Was going to go to bed |
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| Author: | DavPaz [ Thu May 07, 2015 23:55 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
MaliA wrote: Kern wrote: Can't be bothered to check the historical data, but feels low, even for a safe seat. But I doubt other seats will be that small. No body that would vote tory would live near there. They would move to Middlesbrough. Don't bait me, child |
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| Author: | Grim... [ Thu May 07, 2015 23:56 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Yeah Galloway you cunt! |
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| Author: | Kern [ Thu May 07, 2015 23:58 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
I'm really hoping those rumours are true. |
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| Author: | Kern [ Thu May 07, 2015 23:59 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
ApplePieOfDestiny wrote: We live in a left wing bubble so we hear left wing. From a client perspective I only hear right wing. It's borderline jazz - the notes you hear are the ones that aren't being played. I never noticed confirmation bias until I was told about it. Now I see it everywhere. |
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| Author: | MaliA [ Thu May 07, 2015 23:59 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Kern wrote: I'm really hoping those rumours are true. Not half as much as I am. |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:00 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
The idea that 5 Holds would be a good result for Labour in Scotland is an amazing turn of events. |
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| Author: | MaliA [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:00 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
DavPaz wrote: MaliA wrote: Kern wrote: Can't be bothered to check the historical data, but feels low, even for a safe seat. But I doubt other seats will be that small. No body that would vote tory would live near there. They would move to Middlesbrough. Don't bait me, child I meant boro was more likely to offer an affluent place to live. |
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| Author: | Trooper [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:05 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Kern wrote: ApplePieOfDestiny wrote: We live in a left wing bubble so we hear left wing. From a client perspective I only hear right wing. It's borderline jazz - the notes you hear are the ones that aren't being played. I never noticed confirmation bias until I was told about it. Now I see it everywhere. Quite, but it's a common opinion that twitter as a whole is left wing, isn't it? |
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| Author: | Grim... [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:06 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Lib Dems have lost all 3 deposits so far. |
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| Author: | MaliA [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:08 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Trooper wrote: Kern wrote: ApplePieOfDestiny wrote: We live in a left wing bubble so we hear left wing. From a client perspective I only hear right wing. It's borderline jazz - the notes you hear are the ones that aren't being played. I never noticed confirmation bias until I was told about it. Now I see it everywhere. Quite, but it's a common opinion that twitter as a whole is left wing, isn't it? I think I found a research paper about this once . |
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| Author: | DavPaz [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:09 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
MaliA wrote: DavPaz wrote: MaliA wrote: Kern wrote: Can't be bothered to check the historical data, but feels low, even for a safe seat. But I doubt other seats will be that small. No body that would vote tory would live near there. They would move to Middlesbrough. Don't bait me, child I meant boro was more likely to offer an affluent place to live. You've clearly never been there. |
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| Author: | MaliA [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:11 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
DavPaz wrote: MaliA wrote: DavPaz wrote: MaliA wrote: Kern wrote: Can't be bothered to check the historical data, but feels low, even for a safe seat. But I doubt other seats will be that small. No body that would vote tory would live near there. They would move to Middlesbrough. Don't bait me, child I meant boro was more likely to offer an affluent place to live. You've clearly never been there. I have been to boro. |
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| Author: | Malc [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:12 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
I have! |
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| Author: | Curiosity [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:17 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Grim... wrote: Lib Dems have lost all 3 deposits so far. Yep, but they don't quite match the exit polls. UKIP stronger than expected in the north. If they can become a viable alternative to Labour up there then we're all fucked. |
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| Author: | DavPaz [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:18 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
MaliA wrote: DavPaz wrote: MaliA wrote: DavPaz wrote: MaliA wrote: Kern wrote: Can't be bothered to check the historical data, but feels low, even for a safe seat. But I doubt other seats will be that small. No body that would vote tory would live near there. They would move to Middlesbrough. Don't bait me, child I meant boro was more likely to offer an affluent place to live. You've clearly never been there. I have been to boro. Then I will take your compliment, kind sir. |
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| Author: | MaliA [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:24 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
DavPaz wrote: MaliA wrote: DavPaz wrote: MaliA wrote: DavPaz wrote: MaliA wrote: Kern wrote: Can't be bothered to check the historical data, but feels low, even for a safe seat. But I doubt other seats will be that small. No body that would vote tory would live near there. They would move to Middlesbrough. Don't bait me, child I meant boro was more likely to offer an affluent place to live. You've clearly never been there. I have been to boro. Then I will take your compliment, kind sir. don't make me come up there again. |
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| Author: | Curiosity [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:33 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Sounds like UKIP are thundering through Labour votes. Which is weird. Why go from (ostensibly) left wing to far right? Are people really that scared of the immigrant boogeyman? |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:33 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
What this country needs is a Doctor. |
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| Author: | Trooper [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:36 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Curiosity wrote: Sounds like UKIP are thundering through Labour votes. Which is weird. Why go from (ostensibly) left wing to far right? Are people really that scared of the immigrant boogeyman? Both ends of the extremes have more in common with each other than the more accepting and liberal left and right of middle. |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:41 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
UKIP are picking up the traditional Labour working class vote that feels abandoned by the current middle class party. |
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| Author: | MaliA [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:41 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Kern wrote: UKIP are picking up the traditional Labour working class vote that feels abandoned by the current middle class party. That. |
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| Author: | DavPaz [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:45 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
God, this is depressing. I'm going to bed. |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:47 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
We've had worse threads... |
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| Author: | MaliA [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:51 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Right I am putting my head down. I expect to be up at 5. |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:53 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Ah, Putney. Scene of one of the highlights of 1997 when Jimmy Goldsmith went bonkers. |
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| Author: | Malc [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:54 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
My brother lives (and voted) in Putney Recount in Bradford west |
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| Author: | ApplePieOfDestiny [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:55 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Gallo(re)cunt! |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:56 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Recount? Did someone mislay the graveyard votes? |
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| Author: | Malc [ Fri May 08, 2015 0:58 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
To be expected again. UKIP up, but not by as much, everyone up, apart from lib Dems. Maybe their exit poll could be right? |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:09 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
BBC just said there is no recount but gorgeous George likely to have lost. If so, he's going to resurface. Tower Hamlets, perhaps? |
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| Author: | Malc [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:09 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
No recount apparently, Another safe labour win, another ukip and green rise with lib Dems falling away massively |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:11 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Curious thing about the Lib Dems is that at each election since 1992 their share of the vote went down, whilst their number of seats went up. Not this time! Another 80 years in the wilderness awaits! |
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| Author: | Malc [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:13 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Lab slightly increase in tooting. Greens in 3rd lib Dems down big again. |
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| Author: | Trooper [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:13 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Farage is out too. Which is a shame, as he would have been hilarious in the house. |
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| Author: | Malc [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:14 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Trooper wrote: Farage is out too. Which is a shame, as he would have been hilarious in the house. Not confirmed yet though? |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:14 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
I'm sure he'll somehow manage on the meagre wages of an MEP. |
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| Author: | Trooper [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:16 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Malc wrote: Trooper wrote: Farage is out too. Which is a shame, as he would have been hilarious in the house. Not confirmed yet though? Not confirmed, but 99% sure. |
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| Author: | ApplePieOfDestiny [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:19 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Kinnock - "Voters are self delusional, self interested, cunts" |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:20 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
ApplePieOfDestiny wrote: Kinnock - "Voters are self delusional, self interested, cunts" [obligatory Brecht quote] |
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| Author: | ApplePieOfDestiny [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:21 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
I paraphrase of course. He started that statement at 9:15. |
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| Author: | ApplePieOfDestiny [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:22 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Jesus, the Exit Poll dude is now inferring potential for conservative majority. |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:23 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Assuming the figure given was the middle of the confidence interval, it wouldn't be impossible. |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:24 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Oh, the Lib Dems came 3rd in Battersea. That's been rare tonight. Still dropped 10% though. |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:25 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Ooo, the DUP counter just went up by one. I suppose had I switched to UTV or BBC NI I would have seen it. |
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| Author: | Curiosity [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:26 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Looks like buying almost every major newspaper in the country helps. Who knew? |
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| Author: | ApplePieOfDestiny [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:26 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Kern wrote: Assuming the figure given was the middle of the confidence interval, it wouldn't be impossible. I got the impression that they stated result at SD, but thought it could be +5/-20 (for example), and now they're reversing the deviation. I expected backtracking on the Exit at some point - not in that direction. |
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| Author: | ApplePieOfDestiny [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:27 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Kern wrote: Ooo, the DUP counter just went up by one. I suppose had I switched to UTV or BBC NI I would have seen it. We care little for the minor dependant territories. After cornwall, only scotland matters. |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:29 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
I remember an episode of the 'News Quiz' from about 15 years back where Jeremy Hardy made the point that Scotland will leave the Union, then Wales will, then England will, at which point we can say to the Ulster Unionists: 'Ha, you're on your own!' |
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| Author: | Kern [ Fri May 08, 2015 1:31 ] |
| Post subject: | Re: General Election 2015 |
Still, it could have been worse for Clegg. Jeremy Thorpe was tried for conspiracy to murder... |
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